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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1942/22955

Title: The costs of production of alternative jet fuel: A harmonized stochastic assessment
Authors: Bann, Seamus
Malina, Robert
Staples, Mark D.
Suresh, Pooja
Pearlson, Matthew
Tyner, Wallace E.
Hileman, James
Barrett, Steven
Issue Date: 2017
Citation: Bioresource technology, 227, p. 179-187
Status: In Press
Abstract: This study quantifies and compares the costs of production for six alternative jet fuel pathways using consistent financial and technical assumptions. Uncertainty was propagated through the analysis using Monte Carlo simulations. The six processes assessed were HEFA, advanced fermentation, Fischer-Tropsch, aqueous phase processing, hydrothermal liquefaction, and fast pyrolysis. The results indicate that none of the six processes would be profitable in the absence of government incentives, with HEFA using yellow grease, HEFA using tallow, and FT revealing the lowest mean jet fuel prices at $0.91/liter ($0.66/liter-$1.24/liter), $1.06/liter ($0.79/liter-$1.42/liter), and $1.15/liter ($0.95/liter-$1.39/liter), respectively. This study also quantifies plant performance in the United States with a Renewable Fuel Standard policy analysis. Results indicate that some pathways could achieve positive NPV with relatively high likelihood under existing policy supports, with HEFA and FPH revealing the highest probability of positive NPV at 94.9% and 99.7%, respectively, in the best-case scenario.
Notes: Malina, R (reprint author), Hasselt Univ, Ctr Environm Sci, Martelarenlaan 42, B-3500 Hasselt, Belgium. robert.malina@uhasselt.be
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1942/22955
DOI: 10.1016/j.biortech.2016.12.032
ISI #: 000397923200022
ISSN: 0960-8524
Category: A1
Type: Journal Contribution
Appears in Collections: Research publications

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