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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1942/22020

Title: An agent-based model of farmer behaviour to explain the limited adaptability of Flemish agriculture
Authors: Maes, Dries
Van Passel, Steven
Issue Date: 2016
Citation: Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 22, p. 63-77
Abstract: Transition projects have been implemented for Flemish agriculture since 2003, but these did not enable a transformation of the agricultural sector. This paper looks at pre-transition scenarios that have been collectively designed by stakeholders of the agricultural sector in2002. These foresaw decreases in the regional animal stocks in Flanders. However, the real evolution of the sector did not reveal such a decrease. It is assumed that the individual adaptive behaviour of farmers can explain the unexpected stability of the Flemish agricultural sector. A detailed agent-based model has been built to replicate the past evolution, accounting for structural diversity of farmers, heterogeneity in behaviour, and natural resource constraints. The results indicate that different forms of rigidity in the individual behaviour of farmers slow down the adaptation of the agricultural sector. Future transition scenarios should account for these elements in order not to overestimate the speed of change in the sector.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1942/22020
DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2016.06.001
ISI #: 000400269900006
ISSN: 2210-4224
Category: A1
Type: Journal Contribution
Validation: vabb, 2018
Appears in Collections: Research publications

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