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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1942/11830

Title: Estimating the effective reproduction number for pandemic influenza from notification data made publicly available in real time: A multi-country analysis for influenza A/H1N1v 2009
Authors: HENS, Niel
Van Ranst, Marc
Robesyn, Emmanuel
Van Damm, Pierre
Beutels, Philippe
Issue Date: 2011
Citation: VACCINE, 29 (5). p. 896-904
Abstract: In the early phase of an emerging pandemic such as A/H1Nlv 2009, it is essential to have a good under-standing of its transmissibility, which is often summarized by the reproductive number. Before a country is affected, its government may want to make their own assessment of what is going on in areas of the world that have previously been affected by the disease. However, having access to detailed data is problematic. The only publicly available international dataset with information for a large number of countries was the WHO cumulated case counts per country. In this paper, we show how and in which situations the recorded history of cumulated case counts provides valuable information to estimate the effective reproductive number in an early phase and for a large number of countries. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Notes: [Hens, Niel; Aerts, Marc] Hasselt Univ, Interuniv Inst Biostat & Stat Bioinformat, B-3590 Diepenbeek, Belgium. [Hens, Niel; Beutels, Philippe] Univ Antwerp, Ctr Hlth Econ Res & Modeling Infect Dis, Antwerp, Belgium. [Hens, Niel; Beutels, Philippe] Univ Antwerp, Ctr Evaluat Vaccinat, Vaccine & Infect Dis Inst, Antwerp, Belgium. [Van Ranst, Marc] Catholic Univ Louvain, Rega Inst Med Res, Dept Microbiol & Immunol, Lab Clin & Epidemiol Virol, B-3000 Louvain, Belgium. [Van Ranst, Marc; Robesyn, Emmanuel] Interministerial Commissariate Influenza, Louvain, Belgium. [Robesyn, Emmanuel] Flemish Agcy Care & Hlth, Dept Publ Hlth Surveillance, Infect Dis Control Unit, Louvain, Belgium. [Van Damm, Pierre] Univ Antwerp, Vaccine & Infect Dis Inst, Ctr Evaluat Vaccinat, Antwerp, Belgium. niel.hens@uhasselt.be
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1942/11830
DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.010
ISI #: 000287295800007
ISSN: 0264-410X
Category: A1
Type: Journal Contribution
Validation: ecoom, 2012
Appears in Collections: Research publications

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